Eleven years after a financial turmoil hit the Asian countries, the economy of the
Philippines has now virtually recovered. Although the growth rate of the Philippines (5.3%) was
lower than the ASEAN average growth rate of 5.8% (International Monetary Fund, 2006) and
other larger emerging economies such as India (9.7%) and China (11.6%), it was slightly
higher compared to the average growth rate of the world economy of 4% (World Bank, 2006).
Why is the economic growth rate of the Philippines different from the other countries? Despite
the fact that researchers in the area of economic development have raised this
fundamental question since the early 1930s, it is still relevant in the present context of the
Philippine economy. Earlier studies on economic growth have suggested that the level of
macroeconomic stability, international trade, educational attainment, religious diversity, the effectiveness
of legal system, and resource endowments are among the factors contributing to the
cross-country differences in growth. The list of liable factors continues to expand,
apparently without limit (Khan and Senhadji, 2000). The differences in institutional environment,
quality of institutions, judicial system, bureaucracy, law and order, property rights,
investment infrastructure between the Philippine economy and the economies of other countries
are believed to be among the contributors to cross-country differences in growth.
Of those possible factors contributing to economic growth, the role of financial sector
has begun to receive attention more recently. The initial recognition of a significant
relationship between financial development and economic growth dates back to Schumpeter (1912).
Since then, there have been rigorous studies that have explored whether economic growth
affects financial development or otherwise. Earlier studies on growth-finance causation
documented a positive relationship between growth and financial development (Schumpeter,
1932; Goldsmith, 1969; McKinnon, 1973; and Shaw, 1973). In another study, Robinson
(1952) found that economic growth causes financial sector to grow. Meanwhile, Lucas
(1988) documented an independent and non-causal relationship between growth and
financial development. On the other hand, Demetrides and Hussein (1996) and Greenwood and
Smith (1997) believed that there is a bidirectional causality between growth and
financial development. |